Now with SPCX + merger-ratio math

Know what your TSLA is really worth.

The TSLA holder's calculator. Model your TSLA and SPCX shares at any price target, see the after-tax number, and test what a hypothetical merger exchange ratio would turn your shares into.

Free weekly email: the numbers that move $TSLA 
Next catalyst·EarningsConfirmed

Tesla Q3 2026 earnings call

Wed, Oct 21, 2026 · 5:30 PM EDT

--
Days
--
Hours
--
Min
--
Sec

Results after the close; Q&A webcast 5:30 PM ET (per Tesla's Oct 2 release / SEC Ex. 99.1). Source

Value at target
$127,500
TSLA $1,200 · SPCX $300+349% ROISix-Figure Holder
Share result card →
$48.0K$96.0K$144.0K$192.0KCost basis$0$480$960$1,440$1,920
TSLA position value by target priceEducational estimate
Your holdings
Top 25% Holder
$
$
Latest: Oct 16 close
Value today
$35.5K
$
IPO priced at $135 (Jun 11, 2026)
$
Latest: Oct 16 close
Value today
$3,651

400 more TSLA shares to the next tier.

Prices fill in from the latest quote (as-of time under each). Type your own to override. Everything stays in your browser.

Price targets
TSLA target$1,200
SPCX target$300
TSLA value
$120.0K
Gain
$99.1K
Tax (fed. 23.8%)
$23.6K
After-tax
$103.9K

Presets are public calls as remembered in v1, shown for illustration — not forecasts we endorse. Tax = top federal long-term rate (20% + 3.8% NIIT) on gains; bracket-aware federal and state tax on your real lots is in My Exit Plan (Pro).

The TSLA holder's weekly

Get this math in your inbox, weekly.

One email a week on the numbers that move $TSLA, plus a short note on big catalyst days. Free.

Your shareable Exit Velocity result card
Share your trajectory

Post your card on X

The link unfurls into this image. It shows share counts and targets — never your cost basis.

Merger scenario
Hypothetical · no deal announced
Premium paid to TSLA holders+0%

Your 100 TSLA shares would become

242.9 SPCX

at 2.429 SPCX per TSLA (+0.0% vs. today). Value parity today ≈ 2.43.

Total SPCX after
267.9
Value change today
$0
At SPCX $300
$80.4K
…after tax if sold
$68.0K
Why “0.7” doesn't mean 0.7 shares

The widely quoted ~0.7 (Barclays, Oct 2026) compares company values: Tesla's market cap ÷ SpaceX's. What you'd actually receive is an exchange ratio — SPCX shares per TSLA share — which depends on share prices. At today's prices, simply matching value takes about 2.4 SPCX per TSLA. Receiving 0.7 shares would be a -71% haircut. Full explainer.

Share counts: TSLA 3.950B (Jul 16, 2026); SPCX 13.182B (Jul 28, 2026). After-tax assumes a later sale at 23.8% on the gain over your combined cost; many all-stock deals are structured as tax-free reorganizations, so the exchange itself may not be taxable.

Combined portfolio
Today
$39.1K
At targets
$127.5K
Invested
$28.4K
Unrealized today
$10.7K
TSLA 94%SPCX 6%

Allocation at your target prices.

Buy the dip

“Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”

$
Cost
$3,400
Worth at $1,200
$12.0K
Profit from dip
$8,600
New avg cost
$258.18

New total: 110 shares · dip ROI +253%

Educational tool, not investment or tax advice. Exit Velocity is an educational calculator. It is not investment, tax, or legal advice, and it is not affiliated with Tesla, Inc. or Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Scenarios are hypothetical; no Tesla–SpaceX merger has been announced.
Earnings week

Tesla reports Wednesday. Get my scorecard before the call.

Free and weekly: the numbers that move $TSLA, plus a short scorecard ahead of earnings. Unsubscribe anytime.

How it works
  1. 1. Enter shares, cost and today's price. Nothing leaves your browser.
  2. 2. Drag the targets. The chart shows your position at every price up to your target and beyond.
  3. 3. Flip on Reality Mode. Top federal long-term rate on gains, so you see take-home rather than headline.
  4. 4. Share a card. A clean image for X with your share count and target — never your cost basis.
Exit Velocity Pro

Your TSLA, watched daily. Your exit, planned.

See Pro →
My Exit PlanLive

Your real lots (typed in or imported from a broker CSV), a tax-smart sell ladder with federal + 50-state tax, and a countdown to long-term rates. Stays in your browser.

The Daily BriefSoon

A morning email with your stack's value before and after tax, the distance to your next sell price and the week's catalysts. Plus sell-price alerts.

Coming soon · included in every Pro plan

Catalyst & Merger DeskSoon

Earnings, news and SpaceX merger developments translated into what they mean for your shares, alongside prediction-market odds.

Coming soon · included in every Pro plan